Global Risk Forum 442 & 443
El Niño is gripping global weather patterns again — a natural climate cycle where the central and eastern Pacific warms up and shifts weather patterns around the world, often in uneven and far-reaching ways. And that’s really the key point this time. In parts of the Americas, there’s a higher risk of heavy rain and […]
Global Risk Forum 440 & 441
A lot of what’s happening this week across markets, politics and tech is really coming back to one thing: energy. BP (British Petroleum) has had a notable governance shake-up with the removal of its chair, Albert Manifold, following concerns around oversight and conduct. It’s not just a routine leadership change — it reflects a wider […]
Global Risk Forum 438 & 439 – South and Central Asia: A Renewing Arc of Instability
This week, we’re focusing on South and Central Asia — a region where long-standing historical fault lines are re-emerging under current geopolitical pressure, creating a renewed (but often under-reported) instability arc. In South Asia, the key risk remains the Afghanistan–Pakistan frontier, shaped by the colonial-era Durand Line established in 1893. This border has never been formally accepted by Afghanistan […]
Global Risk Forum 437 – The Trump–Xi Summit: Localised Risk, Global Impact on Trade, Technology and International Affairs
The summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and PRC President Xi Jinping in Beijing marks a new stepping stone in tightening bilateral engagement between Washington and Beijing after the Busan Summit of late 2025. Taking place against the backdrop of global trade fragmentation and elevated oil prices, the meeting reflects a strategic interest in taking […]
Global Risk Forum 435 & 436 – Africa in Focus: Risks, Resilience and Shifting Global Dynamics
Recent weeks have once again drawn attention to Africa’s place in the global risk landscape. Three years on, the war in Sudan continues to drive one of the world’s most serious humanitarian crises, with millions displaced and international attention still uneven. At the same time, commemorations marking thirty-two years since the 1994 genocide against the […]
Global Risk Forum 433 & 434 – Strategic Implications of Healthy Ageing Populations
This week’s Global Risk Forum Special Edition looks at a topic that is becoming increasingly important for governments, businesses and societies: ageing populations, and what this means for risk, resilience and long-term planning. We will have a conversation on a new ISRM Briefing Paper: “Strategic Implications of Healthy Ageing Population Dynamics” by William Domanski, F.ISRM, and Paul […]
Global Risk Forum 431 & 432 – Global Terrorism in 2026: Fragmented, Proxy-Driven and Increasingly Blurred
The global terrorism landscape in 2026 looks increasingly fragmented rather than unified. Instead of large, centralised organisations, we are seeing more hybrid, proxy-linked and digitally enabled networks operating across different regions. Rather than a single global structure, the picture is now shaped by overlapping factors – state influence, regional instability and the growing role of […]
Structured Expert Judgment: Bridging the Gap Between Qualitative and Quantitative Risk Assessment
An Interview with Dr Anca Hanea PhD Interviewed by Paul Vorbach F.ISRM Paul Vorbach F.ISRM Welcome to this conversation with Dr Anca Hanea PhD, Associate Professor at the University of Melbourne. Associate Professor Anca focuses on work through the University of Melbourne’s Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis. She specialises in probabilistic modelling, Structured […]
Managing data centres’ power demand risk: Could SMRs power Canada’s sovereign cloud’s data centres?
by David Aanye M.ISRM Data centres are undoubtedly crucial to achieving a sovereign cloud. A sovereign cloud would comprise advanced computing infrastructure and data centres, housed within the country’s borders and hosting Canadian data, and governed by local laws only. While announcing the Major Project Office (MPO) inaugural priorities in Edmonton in September 2025, Prime […]
Global Risk Forum 429 & 430
In Europe, we’re seeing a historic political shift in Hungary, where Viktor Orbán has been voted out after 16 years in power and Péter Magyar is set to become the new Prime Minister. It’s a significant turning point for the country, and it’s already raising questions about Hungary’s future relationship with the EU, NATO and […]